Saturday, January 21, 2012

Nevada '12 General Election

Mitt Romney 49%
Barack Obama 38%

GS Strategy Group Poll
01/03/2012
400

South Carolina Predictions

With only hours before votes begin to be counted, a major shift has taken place in South Carolina within the last week. Romneys large lead has faded, and Gingrich has risen to the top with two strong debate outings. The unfair attacks on Romney for his taxes (no other candidate has ever been asked to release all of their taxes this early. Paul and Santorum have not released thiers, yet are not getting the same treatment) have strongly damaged him. Romneys pure inability to counter attack the liberal minded claims coming from his Republican rivals have greatly hurt his campaign. With that said, this should serve as a turning point in the campaign making this a two man race between Romney and Gingrich heading into Florida, a state where Romney currently leads by double digits. Here are tonights predictions.

1st-Gingrich
2nd-Romney
3rd-Ron Paul
4th-Rick Santorum

It must be stated that if under some circumstance Romney were to win South Carolina, he would have the nomination in the bag going forward. This is a must win for Gingrich. Best case for him would be a win by more than 8% and getting more than 37% of the vote. Romneys campaign has set a target of 33-34%. If they reach that than they met expectations set by the media and shouldn't lose too much ground heading into Florida. If Romney fails to get more than 30%, he will be forced to deal with a Gingrich bounce in Florida. However, expect a suprise in the days leading up to the contest. An endorsment by Conservative Florida Senator darling Marco Rubio for Mitt Romney.

Sunday, January 15, 2012

Candidate Obama vs. President Obama: Change We Can Believe In?

National Republican Primary; Mitt Romney pulling away?

With each passing day since the New Hampshire primary, it appears Republicans are beginning to rally around Mitt Romney. For most of the primary season he failed to reach more than 25%, but according to new polling done within the last week, that has changed.

Romney 37%
Santorum 14%
Gingrich 13%
Paul 12%
Perry 5%
Huntsman 3%
Other 1%

Gallup.com 1/15/12

South Carolina GOP Primary

Mitt Romney 32%
Newt Gingrich 23%
Rick Santorum 14%
Undecided 12%
Ron Paul 10%
Rick Perry 6%
Jon Huntsman 4%

New Frontier Strategy poll
01/12/2012
810

Huntsman To Drop Out Of Presidential Race

As expected, John Huntsman will be dropping out of the Republican Presidential race tomorrow at 11 AM eastern time. He will then pledge his support for Mitt Romney.