Arizona GOP Primary

Mitt Romney 41%
Undecided 25%
Rick Santorum 14%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Rick Perry 5%
Ron Paul 4%
Jon Huntsman 2%

Rocky Mountain Poll
01/09/2012
553

Election 2012: Florida Republican Primary

Romney 41%
Gingrich 19%
Santorum 15%

rasmussenreports.com

Election 2012: South Carolina Republican Primary

Romney 28%
Gingrich 21%
Santorum 16%
Paul 16%

rasmussenreports.com

Damaging Ron Paul Ad

New Hampshire Predictions

With voting currently underway in the first in the nation primary of New Hampshire, the race appears to be more focused on whom will finish second, considering Mitt Romneys commanding lead in nearly every single poll conducted in the state since the process began nearly a year ago. Much has happened in terms of momentum in the last 48 hours. Despite what much of the news is reporting, the Sunday morning Meet the Press debate was very damaging to Romney. A less than expected showing in New Hampshire could give fuel to the effect of his inability to solidly answer some of the more pressing questions in that debate. A candidate seen as underperforming will see a hit in the coming states polls. If Romney solidly wins New Hampshire with more than 40% of the vote, he will then have met expectations set for him by the media and will temporarily silence critics who claim he has taken some damage. If he finishes less than 34%, he is in trouble. Remember, South Carolina is the most important state for Romney, and it is next up following New Hampshire. A win there seals the nomination for him. Period. So with that said, here are the predictions of how tonights vote will play out.

1st-Mitt Romney
2nd-John Huntsman
3rd-Ron Paul
4th-Newt Gingrich
5th-Rick Santorum
6th-Rick Perry

The closest battles will be between 2nd/3rd and 4th/5th. The first group will be between the 15%-25% range. The 2nd group will be between the 8%-14% range.

Possible Suprise Candidate-John Huntsman

Huntsmans main goal isn't to win, but to exceed expectations. A second place fininsh with more than 20% of the vote would be exceeding expectations. Anything less than 12-15% and a 2nd, possibly close competitve 3rd, and he will be out of the race within a week.