With less than a week before the Iowa Caucus, each and evey poll will give better insight into who could come out on top. The key person to watch is Rick Santorum. He's put the most hours into Iowa, and he's not Romney or Paul. One important factor is that the party will do everything possible to prevent Paul from winning because, in their eyes, that would be an embarassment. Some will also try to secure a Romney defeat for fears that he isn't conservative enough. One way to get both scenarios is for Perry supportes and Bachmann supporters to switch over to Santorum on election day. A few months back there were rumblings of key Iowa conservatives getting together and planning on whom of the conservative candidates to rally around to defeat Romney. Perhaps that plan is still intact and could serve to defeat both Ron Paul and Mitt Romney.
Iowa Caucus: Romney 23%, Paul 22%, Santorum 16%
rasmussenreports.com 12/29/11
