Virginia Surge

Many believe President Obama's recent endorsement of same sex marriage could cost him in key swing states such as North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, and Virginia. I myself hold to this view, and the polls are starting to support such a stance. A recent Rasmussen Reports poll conducted today, June 4, 2012, shows Romney and Obama tied at 47% a piece in the State of Virginia. Compare that to a Washington Post poll conducted May 3, 2012 which showed Obama besting Romney 53% to 41%, and you will see a 6% increase for Romney, and a 6% drop for Obama. Nonetheless, Virginia is going to be a tough state for Romney to capture. Obama's team has spent a great deal of time setting up a solid infrastructure, and due to his wide appeal to minorities, there is always the chance that more minorities than usual could go to the polls November 6, just like they did in 08. Much of that rest on Obama's ability to fire up minorities across the board. As of today however, that simply wouldn't happen. In fact, the American Black Pastors movement is coming out hard against Obama due to his gay marriage support, and it is well document that a large majority of African Americans oppose same sex marriage (70% backed proposition 8 in California). Any minor decrease in turnout due to a building disdain for Obama's recent change of heart regarding gay marriage could cost the Democrats the election.